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Firedog
Super User
Super User
December 15, 2023
Solved

Price cap increases- To fix or not to fix?

  • December 15, 2023
  • 217 replies
  • 5947 views

Customers on variable tariffs (SVT) are being notified these days of tariff increases from 1 January. At the same time, many are being given the opportunity to switch to a fixed-rate tariff. I am trying to decide whether it would be a good idea to fix, but I’m not sure I have all the information I need. Gas hasn’t been invented yet in my corner of the world, so I’m only interested in electricity tariffs.

Cornwall Insight are a well respected crystal-ball gazer where energy prices are concerned. Their predictions for 2024 show small ups and downs in unit prices, but one startling forecast is for a hike in the standing charge of the order of 15% on 1 April. For a light user like me, this is hugely significant. On SVT, the standing charge would amount to 37% of my bill in January, but by October this would have risen to more than 41%. The fixed rates I’m being offered would keep the standing charge at more or less the current level, so that makes fixing look like a good idea. 

But … we know that Ofgem are considering changes to the way standing charges are calculated and applied. If by some miracle any change were to be implemented before 1 October next, would I miss out on any benefit this might bring? I guess the answer to that is Yes, but that it’s not very likely any change will happen by then. Agree?

And does anyone know the reason for the increase in standing charges predicted for 1 April next? Are we going to be paying for the cost of bailing out Bulb customers?

 

Best answer by BPLightlog

Updated on 29/08/25 by Ben_OVO

The Energy Price Cap, set by Ofgem, is normally changed on 01/01, 01/04, 01/07 and 01/10 each year. The price cap can go up or down and, if you’re on the standard variable tariff (Simpler Energy) then your rates will go up or down to match the price cap change. We offer fixed tariffs for one or two years. If you opt in for a fixed tariff then your rates will be fixed, and protected from price cap changes. If you’re up for renewal, or are currently on the Simpler Energy plan, you can switch to a fixed tariff via your online account or app (see below).

 

 

I’ve been asked about the question ‘to fix or not to fix’ often in the last few months and I always offer the same answer .. how comfortable are you with the possibility that prices might increase over the next year?

There are no two ways about it .. it is a gamble. I liken it to taking out insurance (the optional sort) where it’s a calculation as to the possibility of an expense for a loss/damage compared to - for the most part - having financial cover for those things.

Back in 2021 we fixed our energy rate for 2 years and almost everybody told me that it was at too high a level. Little did I (or anybody else) know about the pending war in Ukraine and the problems with supply from the Russian pipeline.

This time, despite the outlook, we have not fixed .. although, in effect, our tariff is a constant variable if that makes any sense. All of that is why I’ve invested in solar PV, battery storage, a Ripple community solar park and a small wind generator, so that we have a degree of self/low generation support whatever happens

217 replies

Firedog
Super User
FiredogSuper UserAuthor
Super User
April 2, 2026

I don’t think you can expect recommendations. The future is so very uncertain, not just because of what’s going on in the Middle East. You’re seeing better rates today because an unprecedented government intervention required suppliers to cut them, even ‘fixed’ ones. That means we can no longer regard fixed-rate tariffs as having fixed rates! Look, too, at the standing charges. In my region, the SC for a 1- or 2-year fix is 10p a day higher than the current variable rate. Will the government do something to bring them down? If they did, would that also apply to ‘fixed’ plans again? Of course, nobody knows, so we all have to make our own choices. Some of us will do better out of them than others, and your choice could well turn out to be better than mine.  

Noel | I have no official status; I'm just a volunteer who comes here to help other customers. My gear: Aclara SGM 1416-B Electricity-only E7 meter; Chameleon IHD3-PPMID-AAA | It may look as if I know what I’m talking about, but don’t let that fool you. |
Nukecad
Super User
Super User
April 3, 2026

The best I can say is that if my fixed plan was ending this month then personally I would go to Standard Variable for now and keep a close eye on the Cornwall Insight forcast and what fixed rates are being offered at anytime.

Then depending on how I think prices may go I’d make a decision early in June wheteher to fix again or stay on SV, and again 3-months later, and …….

Remembering also that if you go to pay-on-demand rather than Direct Debit the next six months will be lighter use summer months. The on-demand SV tariff is slightly higher that the DD one though so you would have to weigh it up for your own usage numbers during the summer months.*

 

(Luckily for me my current fix doesn’t end until 27th August which gives me a bit more time to watch what is going to happen, and at the moment with the newly reduced rates my cost for ussage and SC’s is still slightly less than a new Standard Variable DD would be, and much less than the currently offered new fixes).

*BTW. The cheapest current tariff? You probably didn’t see it if you were looking at the fixes.
I’m not at all suggesting that you go this way but take a look at PAYG and compare it to the Standard Variable pay-on-demand/DD rates.

I said, Hey - Watts going on.
Chris_OVO
Community Manager
Community Manager
April 3, 2026

Hey ​@Goku

 

As Firedog and Nukecad pointed out, there’s a lot of uncertainty right now, and having the option to lock in your unit rates can really help you avoid any sudden price hikes, especially if you’re riding the waves on nimbus on a variable plan. 

 

Personally, I find that being on a fixed plan is much more comforting! It gives me peace of mind knowing exactly what my unit rate is, and I can easily keep track of my bills by managing how much energy I use. It’s all about finding what works for you!

Renewable energy jokes never get old.
Rank 1
June 3, 2026

 

Should I switch to Octopus as there is going to be an increase again in July?

What are

other people thoughts on this

I currently pay on receipt of my bill 

Rank 2
June 3, 2026

All energy companies are likely to increase prices from July 2026 as a result of the increase in the energy cap. It is worth looking around at both variable rates and fixed rates to see where the best deal is. Like you I pay my energy on receipt of bill but it is likely the best deals will only be by Direct Debit. This method of payment allows the electricity companies to build up your funds over the lower use summer months and hence often a slightly better deal is available.

Rank 12
June 3, 2026

As far as I can see, the only advantage for anyone who pays on receipt of bill is that Octopus offer something they call a “Variable Direct Debit”. This means that, each month, you pay for exactly the amount shown on your bill, but you do so by Direct Debit and so benefit from the lower rates that Direct Debit payments give you. I have not investigated this myself, but I suspect that we have those who know on this forum, but you may also be able to take advantage of tariffs that are only available to customers who pay via Direct Debit.

Ben_OVO
Community Manager
Community Manager
June 4, 2026

Morning ​@Katy65 and welcome to the OVO Forum Community.

 

I can see you’ve had some great answers here already and, as ​@DavidWSR suggests, the price cap increase is UK Industry-wide, rather than just OVO increasing their prices.

 

It’s a good time to assess your options, especially if you pay in receipt of a bill, as this will most likely mean you’re on the Simpler (variable) tariff, which has no exit fees. If you’re shopping around, I recommend getting quotes from energy suppliers directly, rather than using a comparison site. Make sure that you enter your annual usage figures as, without these, you’ll be quoted a Direct Debit amount which may be completely different to what you’ll end up paying reality. You can check your usage figures (future annual consumption) via the ‘Plan’ of your online account. 

 

Here’s a screenshot of my online account, with the annual usage highlighted in red:

 

 

If you enter that figure from your account when getting a quote, then the prices shown will be based upon your own usage. This’ll only work if you have smart meters that are sending regular reads, or if you’ve got traditional meters, and have been sending regular readings yourself.

 

Make sure to check our rates as well - hopefully we’ll be offering contracts at a good price that’ll keep you as a customer. You can view your renewal options online or via the app. We’ve got a guide for this too:

 

 

Let us know how you get on, and give us a shout if you have any other questions - we’re always happy to help 😊.

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Firedog
Super User
FiredogSuper UserAuthor
Super User
June 4, 2026

You can check your usage figures (future annual consumption) via the ‘Plan’ page of your app or online account.
 

Old bone of contention here: the Future Annual Consumption figures aren’t shown anywhere in the app that I can see. Four years ago, this suggestion was made: 

Link to URL 

Noel | I have no official status; I'm just a volunteer who comes here to help other customers. My gear: Aclara SGM 1416-B Electricity-only E7 meter; Chameleon IHD3-PPMID-AAA | It may look as if I know what I’m talking about, but don’t let that fool you. |
Rank 12
June 4, 2026

You can check your usage figures (future annual consumption) via the ‘Plan’ page of your app or online account.
 

Old bone of contention here: the Future Annual Consumption figures aren’t shown anywhere in the app that I can see. Four years ago, this suggestion was made: 

Link to URL 

I have also not been able to fin the Future Annual Consumption figures on the app. It seems rather strange that something like this has been omitted. It is useful for being able to easily check the difference in costs for different tariffs and also to be able to supply these figures should you want an estimate of costs from another company.

Ben_OVO
Community Manager
Community Manager
June 5, 2026

Right you are ​@Firedog. I agree that FAC should be shown on the app, and I’ll pass this onto our Product team now.

 

@Firedog I’ve sent the Ideas thread you’ve linked to the Product team as well.

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