Should I commit to a fixed deal, or should I wait?

From my understanding it looks the the cap is due to come down again soon.

Currently the fixed tariff for me makes no sense to me, its roughly the same as the current pricing but looks to be higher with the new cap, just hoping ovo bring out a tariff more in line with the cap assuming as early reports suggest it will be going down.

Any idea’s if the fixed tariff options will be updated or will we all be sticking to variable as it has that feel similar to the university price cap in that everyone just charges the max because they can?

It rather depends on what you mean by ‘worth it.’ There are many customers who would rather know precisely how much they’re going to spend on energy for the next year than save a few pounds for a few months by staying on a variable tariff which is just as likely to rise again sometime over the next twelve months. Cornwall Insights have a pretty good crystal ball; you might have a look at their predictions for the next year: Cornwall Insight's final forecast for the October price cap

Who would have thought that strikes by liquefied natural gas workers in Australia could lead to higher energy bills in England next winter?

For what it’s worth, my four penneth is to wait until October to see how suppliers react to the new levels. It is a shot in the dark whatever you decide of course 

I do wonder if we will ever see much competition on standard fixed rate tariff again. 

I suspect much of the focus will be on time/type of use tariff from now on.

Not a surprise there isn't much switching between suppliers going on, although it has picked up. 

https://www.electralink.co.uk/2023/08/price-cap-helps-switching-increase/

As someone who managed our workplace contracts with the craze of fix now as the increases are endless we almost fixed in at £1 a kwh last year. letting our contract go variable has saved thousands, we have now fixed at a price not far off domestic pricing. So for me personally fixing for peace of mind is a mixed blessing, I was one of the people who fixed at 60p kwh just before the price caps come into play as I was worried about it going sky high. I’ve traditionally been against variable prices, but historically at least in my mind variable were always higher.

After seeing the caps I can’t see the price cap simply doubling, I just feel like its variable will now be capped and fixed just above as you can.

I’m probably going to do as @BPLightlog  said and wait till October price predictions come through. If the ovo fixed tariff’s come close to the current predicted prices tba 25th I imagine I'll consider fixing. In my mind prices will probably start to rise again the closer we get to the new year. 
 

Thanks for your real-life story; it’s always helpful to hear of others’ experiences. I fixed a few months early in 2021, which meant that I missed out on the first couple of alarming price hikes. It really hit hard when that contract ended in January this year:
  

I suspect the variable rate will be higher in Q1 and Q2 2024 so fixing now may be as good as it gets. So over the cold months in the new year the variable rate will be more expensive. 

The longer you leave it, the higher the risk fixed rates may creep up as winter approaches, even though the weather is relatively mild and gas storage is pretty full. 

Just a personal view. 

I don't think any supplier is looking to build much market share apart from time of use type tarrif now. Those times are gone. 

This is what trusted prophets are saying.

Hey @spidermorse47,

It’s a tough decision, considering what’s happened in recent years with the energy crisis. I’m facing the same decision myself! 

Keep us posted with what you decide 😊