Skip to main content
Rank 4
March 24, 2023
Solved

March 2023- Simpler Energy Variable Plan VS Fixed

  • March 24, 2023
  • 21 replies
  • 2997 views

I too am on the Variable Simpler Energy Plan and have received an email that the prices are going to increase. They say the prices are based on November 2022 wholesale prices which were extremely high, but are advising switching to a Fixed Tariff, which I assume is based on November 2022 prices.

Today the wholesale prices of energy are down 70% surely it must be better to be variable if the prices are going to drop, rather than tie myself into high November prices.

August 2022 £320.00 / Megawatt. March 2023 £44.50 / Megawatt.

Best answer by Jeffus

Updated on 14/09/23 by Abby_OVO

Hi @Geoff Dickson i don't work for ovo, i am just a customer like you.

As you say the wholesale prices have fallen recently so if they stay low, then the default variable rate will fall on 1st July when the next OFGEM window starts, to below the current fixed rate offer hopefully. 

Hopefully also if the wholesale prices stay low we may also see more choice and hopefully even lower fixed prices from suppliers. 

So it is a judgement call, fix now for certainty or assume there won't be any more global events that cause prices to spike again and stay on the variable rate for now. What do you think will happen to wholesale prices? Do you think they will spike again? 

I don't think there is a wrong answer. We can only all make a reasonable judgement call based on the risks we are willing to take. Many people fixed in October 2021 on what looked like high fixed rate offers but saved a lot as the variable rate shot up. The experts don't always get it right in terms of predicting the future. 

I think you are tempted to assume wholesale rates will stay low? Are you going to stay on the variable rate? 

As you say the Energy Price Guarantee limits the unit rates of gas and electric so that on average a typical consumer (12000kWh gas, 2900 kWh Electricity) would pay no more that 2500 a year now and 3000 a year from 1st July to 31st March for their energy usage and standing charges including VAT. If you use more energy you will pay more than the 2500 and 3000.

Ofgem set the standing charge maximum rates for the default variable tariff, so you could ask them for a definitive answer about why they have increased them this time. 

https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/publications/ofgem-announces-latest-quarterly-price-cap-update

consumeraffairs@ofgem.gov.uk

 

21 replies

Emmanuelle_OVO
Retired Moderator
Retired Moderator
March 24, 2023

Hey @Geoff Dickson,

 

Welcome to the OVO Online Community,

 

It’s completely up to you whether you choose to be on Fixed or Variable, a Fixed plan may be cheaper than current Variable rates and the main benefit of a Fixed Tariff is customers with fixed prices have peace of mind that their costs won’t change for the duration of the tariff. Whether it would be beneficial or not depends on what happens in the market.

 

Energy rates are significantly higher currently than they were pre energy crisis, Ofgem have announced that although there’s a decrease to the overall price cap, standing charges will increase. The average household price cap level for a Pay Monthly (PAYM) customer on a Standard Variable Tariff paying by direct debit is now £3,280, previously it was set to £4,279 per year. This means an overall decrease of £999. For Standard Variable Tariff PAYM on demand will go from £4,533 to £3,482. For prepayment customers the cap will go from £4,358 to £3,325. 

 

Currently energy bills are protected by the Energy Price Guarantee and capped at £2500. 

 

When the Energy Crisis hit, customers who were on Fixed contracts were paying significantly less than those on Variable contracts. 

 

It’s a really interesting conversation, thank you for bringing it to the Forum! 😊

Renewable Energy? Big Fan.
Rank 4
March 24, 2023

Dear Renewable Energy? Big Fan.

Thank you for the reply, but all you are saying is what the OVO email has already told me, the energy price Cap does not protect you from from price increases if you use more than the price cap you still have to pay more IT IS NOT A CAP. What happens when the prices reduce as they should, as I mentioned Gas is now £44.50 per Megawatt, in August 2022 it was £320.00 per Megawatt, if I sign up for a Fixed Contract and the prices reduce (as they should) I will be tied into the exorbitant prices as they are today, (based on the wholesale price of Energy in November 2022).

I also do not understand why the “Standing Charges will increase significantly” the infrastructure for the system is already in place nothing has changed or is it pure profiteering.

Jeffus
Rank 20
JeffusSolved
Rank 20
March 24, 2023

Updated on 14/09/23 by Abby_OVO

Hi @Geoff Dickson i don't work for ovo, i am just a customer like you.

As you say the wholesale prices have fallen recently so if they stay low, then the default variable rate will fall on 1st July when the next OFGEM window starts, to below the current fixed rate offer hopefully. 

Hopefully also if the wholesale prices stay low we may also see more choice and hopefully even lower fixed prices from suppliers. 

So it is a judgement call, fix now for certainty or assume there won't be any more global events that cause prices to spike again and stay on the variable rate for now. What do you think will happen to wholesale prices? Do you think they will spike again? 

I don't think there is a wrong answer. We can only all make a reasonable judgement call based on the risks we are willing to take. Many people fixed in October 2021 on what looked like high fixed rate offers but saved a lot as the variable rate shot up. The experts don't always get it right in terms of predicting the future. 

I think you are tempted to assume wholesale rates will stay low? Are you going to stay on the variable rate? 

As you say the Energy Price Guarantee limits the unit rates of gas and electric so that on average a typical consumer (12000kWh gas, 2900 kWh Electricity) would pay no more that 2500 a year now and 3000 a year from 1st July to 31st March for their energy usage and standing charges including VAT. If you use more energy you will pay more than the 2500 and 3000.

Ofgem set the standing charge maximum rates for the default variable tariff, so you could ask them for a definitive answer about why they have increased them this time. 

https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/publications/ofgem-announces-latest-quarterly-price-cap-update

consumeraffairs@ofgem.gov.uk

 

Rank 4
March 25, 2023

Hi Jeffus. Thank you for your very comprehensive reply, I was on a fixed rate which finished in February 2023 and was transferred to the “Simpler Energy Variable rate” which didn’t look to bad to me by todays standards, not been on it a month and they are putting it up, and I am trying to understand why when wholesale prices are plummeting unless Mr Fitzpatrick is feeling the Pinch.

In actual fact my electric kWh price has come down by 0.64p but Standing has increased by 5.76p per day, Gas kWh price stays the same but Standing has increased by 0.63p per day.

I think I will stick with the variable and see where it goes, it should plummet but we will see Mr Fitzpatrick may need another Billion in the bank.

kopweb
Newcomer
Newcomer
March 25, 2023

Certainly Martin Lewis seems to share @Geoff Dickson’s scepticism about the Ovo Fixed Rate offer: https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/news/2023/03/ovo-fixed-deal-after-months-with-no-deals/  Then again, I guess there is no love lost between him and Mr Fitzpatrick after their ‘fat cat’ spat.

The high ‘early-exit’ penalty of £150 (2.5 times more than previous schemes) does raise the question whether Ovo have gone early to stop customers switching easily from Simpler Energy Variable to more competitive fix offers that may be in the pipeline from other suppliers.

 

Firedog
Super User
Super User
March 25, 2023

 

The high ‘early-exit’ penalty of £150 (2.5 times more than previous schemes) does raise the question whether Ovo have gone early to stop customers switching easily from Simpler Energy Variable to more competitive fix offers that may be in the pipeline from other suppliers.

 
I think you’ll find that there’s no exit fee for OVO customers on their standard variable tariff, so no disincentive to switch to another supplier. The fees you quote are for those who opt for the fixed-rate tariffs.

 

Noel | I have no official status; I'm just a volunteer who comes here to help other customers. My gear: Aclara SGM 1416-B Electricity-only E7 meter; Chameleon IHD3-PPMID-AAA | It may look as if I know what I’m talking about, but don’t let that fool you. |
kopweb
Newcomer
Newcomer
March 25, 2023

Sorry @Firedog, perhaps I wasn't clear. It was the exit penalty for the new Fix that I was talking about.

If I sign up for the fixed slightly lower rate, I would have to pay £150 to switch to any even lower fixed rate schemes which may be offered by other suppliers in the months ahead. That is, if wholesale prices continue to fall...

kopweb
Newcomer
Newcomer
March 27, 2023

Hi @Geoff Dickson 

Just thought I’d let you know that I received email notifications that you had tried to reply to me, but your replies have disappeared from the forum. From the email summary, the only thing I can imagine could have led to a block was your self-description as “boring old...” Then again, maybe the forum filter is over-sensitive to the innocuous word that followed 😂

Having used the same phrase of myself on many occasions, I sympathise.

Blastoise186
Super User
Super User
March 27, 2023

Just so you know, the forum is designed so that email notifications don’t go out for anything that was blocked by the AutoMod system. It is more likely that some comments got removed reactively by a moderator.

I can definitely say that it wasn’t me who removed the comments however. Forum volunteers such as myself don’t have that power.

Securing energy by zapping security bugs... For that is The Blastoise Way! Remember, I'm just like you - AI Powered Evil Geniuses aren't Staff!
Rank 4
March 27, 2023



'Thank you for that kopweb I was not aware of the “fat cat spat” and what you say does make sense particularly the early exit penalty, which is one of the reasons I am sticking with the variable rate at the moment.

I have been with OVO since at least 2010 with a year out using another company which went bust, I enjoy being an OVO customer just wish they would simplify the monthly bills, I do believe that they complicate them deliberately along with other suppliers, making them difficult to check, especially for an old PERSON like me.'