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Firedog
Super User
Super User
December 15, 2023
Solved

Price cap increases- To fix or not to fix?

  • December 15, 2023
  • 217 replies
  • 5948 views

Customers on variable tariffs (SVT) are being notified these days of tariff increases from 1 January. At the same time, many are being given the opportunity to switch to a fixed-rate tariff. I am trying to decide whether it would be a good idea to fix, but I’m not sure I have all the information I need. Gas hasn’t been invented yet in my corner of the world, so I’m only interested in electricity tariffs.

Cornwall Insight are a well respected crystal-ball gazer where energy prices are concerned. Their predictions for 2024 show small ups and downs in unit prices, but one startling forecast is for a hike in the standing charge of the order of 15% on 1 April. For a light user like me, this is hugely significant. On SVT, the standing charge would amount to 37% of my bill in January, but by October this would have risen to more than 41%. The fixed rates I’m being offered would keep the standing charge at more or less the current level, so that makes fixing look like a good idea. 

But … we know that Ofgem are considering changes to the way standing charges are calculated and applied. If by some miracle any change were to be implemented before 1 October next, would I miss out on any benefit this might bring? I guess the answer to that is Yes, but that it’s not very likely any change will happen by then. Agree?

And does anyone know the reason for the increase in standing charges predicted for 1 April next? Are we going to be paying for the cost of bailing out Bulb customers?

 

Best answer by BPLightlog

Updated on 29/08/25 by Ben_OVO

The Energy Price Cap, set by Ofgem, is normally changed on 01/01, 01/04, 01/07 and 01/10 each year. The price cap can go up or down and, if you’re on the standard variable tariff (Simpler Energy) then your rates will go up or down to match the price cap change. We offer fixed tariffs for one or two years. If you opt in for a fixed tariff then your rates will be fixed, and protected from price cap changes. If you’re up for renewal, or are currently on the Simpler Energy plan, you can switch to a fixed tariff via your online account or app (see below).

 

 

I’ve been asked about the question ‘to fix or not to fix’ often in the last few months and I always offer the same answer .. how comfortable are you with the possibility that prices might increase over the next year?

There are no two ways about it .. it is a gamble. I liken it to taking out insurance (the optional sort) where it’s a calculation as to the possibility of an expense for a loss/damage compared to - for the most part - having financial cover for those things.

Back in 2021 we fixed our energy rate for 2 years and almost everybody told me that it was at too high a level. Little did I (or anybody else) know about the pending war in Ukraine and the problems with supply from the Russian pipeline.

This time, despite the outlook, we have not fixed .. although, in effect, our tariff is a constant variable if that makes any sense. All of that is why I’ve invested in solar PV, battery storage, a Ripple community solar park and a small wind generator, so that we have a degree of self/low generation support whatever happens

217 replies

Firedog
Super User
FiredogSuper UserAuthor
Super User
March 4, 2024

Thanks, Abby 😊

Noel | I have no official status; I'm just a volunteer who comes here to help other customers. My gear: Aclara SGM 1416-B Electricity-only E7 meter; Chameleon IHD3-PPMID-AAA | It may look as if I know what I’m talking about, but don’t let that fool you. |
Abby_OVO
Community Manager
Community Manager
March 4, 2024

Thanks @Firedog 😅

Currently Playing: She's Electric
Newcomer
April 9, 2024

Hi, 

 

can I get your opinions please. What is the best rate to be on now the rates have gone down.  I don’t really understand it all. I’m o variable at the minute. Thank you 

Jeffus
Rank 20
Rank 20
April 9, 2024

You will get a variety of opinions on the forum

For piece of mind fixing now will lock you into lower rates than your current variable rate. That is because wholesale prices have fallen so energy suppliers can buy energy in advance cheaply at the moment.

Your variable rate is forecast to be lower than it is now if you decide not to switch

https://www.cornwall-insight.com/press/wholesale-price-hikes-and-ofgem-updates-raise-price-cap-forecast/

But nothing is guaranteed obviously.

It is worth shopping around if you decide to fix as you may find better offers elsewhere than OVO.

If you want to stay on a variable tariff then there is an Eon tariff that guarantees to track lower than the price cap for 12 month with no exit fees.

Overall I would say now isn't a bad time to think about fixing. There is nothing to suggest another big fall in wholesale prices.

 

Rank 2
April 9, 2024

In my case, OVO is offering a 1 or 2-year Fixed Loyalty plan, which has higher unit rates and standing charges. Unless you anticipate energy prices increasing in the future, there is no incentive to switch, or you can simply consider switching elsewhere for those offering a better deal.

Jeffus
Rank 20
Rank 20
April 9, 2024

In my case, OVO is offering a 1 or 2-year Fixed Loyalty plan, which has higher unit rates and standing charges. Unless you anticipate energy prices increasing in the future, there is no incentive to switch, or you can simply consider switching elsewhere for those offering a better deal.

Iinteresting as ovo are offering me lower fixed unit rates.

Are you able to post the comparison from the ovo  renewal page?

 

Rank 7
April 9, 2024

That's incredible. The fixed daily  charges for my account are ludicrously high. It reduces the incentive to save. My variable daily rate is 66.55p electric and 30.07p gas. North East England. 

 

3.99kW solar 2015, 12kWh batteries 2022, Tado.
Rank 2
April 9, 2024

Sometimes l don’t understand how it works but mine was coming to an end. my one starts next week and l think mine is a standard one . It’s is a cheaper one as it all has come down.

Jeffus
Rank 20
Rank 20
April 9, 2024

That's incredible. The fixed daily  charges for my account are ludicrously high. It reduces the incentive to save. My variable daily rate is 66.55p electric and 30.07p gas. North East England. 

 

Unfortunately the regional pricing of electricity means some areas of the country pay more.

This difference in pricing is potentially going to increase as the industry moves to zonal and nodal prices, where prices may vary by local substation. Be interesting to watch how that feeds into consumer tariff.

Newcomer
April 9, 2024

In my opinion these saving schemes offered are a gamble, implementing changes as shown below puts you in control of what your energy costs you. I run a 2 bed semi detatched house and my combined consumption throughout this winter, including standing charges and vat is under £100 per month so it can be done.

The only way you can realistically save is to drastically cut down on your consumtion. Not so easy to do if you have a family. I am retired now and live on my own and have done the following:

Throughout the winter indoors, I wear my oodie that keeps me toastie warm

I use a 650w halogen heater instead of putting on the central heating.

I have an electric blanket 200w instead of heating up my bedroom

I strip wash daily and have a long soak in the bath once a week

When I cook, I cook for 8 and freeze 6 (One goes in the fridge and one eaten on the day)

Use the washing machine on cool and full loads only

Dry washing outside even through the winter (I have a canopy that protects the washing from the rain)

Switch over to low energy bulbs and don’t leave lights on.

Doing all of the above I am now using one third of the energy that I used to use, even though the prices have climbed I am actually spending less on energy than before the price hike.

Once you get into the routine it’s not so bad and personally I would rather spend less on energy whilst also helping the environment and have more money to spend on myself.

I hope this helps.