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Jeffus
Rank 20
Rank 20
July 25, 2022
Can't be done yet

Add ability for OVO Support Team to reset the Future Annual Consumption figures

Related products:Online account
  • July 25, 2022
  • 35 replies
  • 703 views

We have seen several instances where the starting Future Annual Consumption figures are significantly higher than customers historical usage.

At present it appears there is no way of the OVO Support Team to reset the Future Annual Consumption. It is taking a considerable amount of time for the system to automatically adjust the future figures, and we are yet to see the examples of the system correcting in a reasonable time.

This is impacting direct debit payments of people on fixed and variable contracts. 

35 replies

juliamc
Rank 20
Rank 20
February 22, 2023

How does that work if the previous half year is all winter months, or all summer months? (Sorry I’ve not looked back at your previous explanation)

BPLightlog
Super User
Super User
February 22, 2023

Any industry usage figure tied to our property certainly was not used when our first dd payments were calculated. We joined in an October and the first few months of use was used as a basis with no significant adjustment made for winter/summer use. 
As I’ve mentioned in another thread, it took a few calls to agree an initial level for the dd and since then I’m told that I will have a surplus at the end of my contract. 
One of the fundamental differences with OVO’s system is maintaining a credit in your account which I had not come across before, paying quarterly and at the end of a quarter 

Bring me Sunshine ~ E&E {Solar PV, Battery Storage, Hybrid EV, ASHP and Home Assistant automation}
Jeffus
Rank 20
JeffusAuthor
Rank 20
February 22, 2023

How does that work if the previous half year is all winter months, or all summer months? (Sorry I’ve not looked back at your previous explanation)

1. I suspect it might be hard to use a smaller time frame due to annual and seasonal differences, holidays etc. But it is an interesting idea in the current environment. We haven't reduced our usage this period, but did in the first year we got our smart meter. 

2. Currently OVO don't use a 12 month time frame for calculating the Future Annual Consumption. They use a longer time frame to attempt to mitigate short term fluctuations due to holidays etc.

3. I assume OVO have tested various algorithms for how to calculate and refresh the Future Annual Consumption. We know it does not update particularly quickly and takes 6 months to settle down if the starting value is too high for whatever reason, hence the need for some customers to have their direct debits frozen for 2 three month periods by the Collections Team. 

4. It is probably challenging to get an algorithm that works for everyone and reacts quick enough. We see examples where people have installed solar PV and it takes time for the OVO system to automatically adjust as no manual adjustment is possible. 

Be interesting to know what algorithms OVO have tested, including any like the idea from @Firedog

 

Jeffus
Rank 20
JeffusAuthor
Rank 20
February 22, 2023

We have seen several instances where the starting Future Annual Consumption figures are significantly higher than customers historical usage.

Is that a common problem? Does it perhaps arise where there is a dearth of meter readings? Or are complainers upset about the personal projection, the estimated cost of last year’s consumption at today’s rates? 

  

… there is no way of the OVO Support Team to reset the Future Annual Consumption.  … This is impacting direct debit payments of people on fixed and variable contracts. 

 

Could we perhaps be having difficulty separating the apples from the goats? The FAC is as I understand it a piece of data stored by ‘industry’ to make it possible to compare different tariffs, including those from other suppliers. It’s tied to a particular supply, not a particular user, so the figure is available even though the meter has changed hands or the user has changed supplier. 

It is however purely OVO’s choice to use this figure as the basis for calculating an appropriate level of Direct Debit. They could choose whatever measure they wanted; after all, if it’s wildly wrong, it’s revised quarterly anyway.

I would suggest that in the current climate, where usage patterns are changing radically in response to startling price changes, it is wrong and unhelpful to use the preceding year’s actual consumption to predict the next year’s expenditure. Instead, I would suggest that for the next half, say, that the personal projection should be calculated on the basis of the previous half’s consumption. The DD could of course still be set at 1/12 of the projected annual cost. In my own case, this would bring my calculated DD down from £71 to £56.

 

You raise some good points @Firedog 

I must admit i and others stopped looking into this once it became clear the best advice was call collections and ask for your DD to be frozen at a lower level as suggested by @Tim_OVO . OVO wouldn't adjust the Future Annual Consumption. There didn't seem much point digging any further to understand the approach, features and issues. 

I am not sure if this helps, here are a few thoughts on the good questions you raised. 

1. I wonder sometimes if we get confused with the Future Annual Consumption figure that OVO say they calculate, with the EAC which OVO say they don't personally calculate, but is updated as meter readings are fed into it. 

You mentioned quarterly updates, i assume you mean the EAC? My Future Annual Consumption figure is definitely updated much more often?

2. Is it a common problem? I don't know the statistics, but we tend to see more cases whenever the SSE migrations pick up pace for example. There are similar cases raised on the ovo Facebook and Twitter feeds from time to time for example. Certainly the impact can be big for some of those impacted.

3. Is it related to a dearth of meter readings? We have seen a variety of examples some people have smart meters, others traditional meters. We sometimes help customers via private message so not all the data is visible on posts. There are a sample of customers referenced in this thread, but I suspect some of the links may not work as threads have been combined. 

4. Are people complaining when the issue is really about rates? I haven't seen that. The combined issue of a high starting value for the Future Annual Consumption and someone coming off a fixed rate is clearly big. Certainly some people are surprised how much rates have risen, but that tends to be a different cohort of people in my experience. 

 

Firedog
Super User
Super User
February 22, 2023

  

1. I wonder sometimes if we get confused with the Future Annual Consumption figure that OVO say they calculate, with the EAC which OVO say they don't personally calculate, but is updated as meter readings are fed into it. 


I’m certain we do! I rather thought that Future Annual Consumption (FAC) was the mandatory one, to be used for tariff comparisons and thus stored centrally for other suppliers to access. I see it on my Plan page. The EAC, which I couldn’t find anywhere when I had a quick look just now, I rather thought was the one that OVO can manipulate and then use to calculate Direct Debit suggestions. Annoyingly, neither figure is now shown on monthly statements (although I’m fairly sure it ought to be), and, on the TIL on my Renewal page, I see yet another incarnation of this figure: the Estimated Yearly Use. I suppose, because I have a smart meter that’s been churning out figures regularly for years, they all appear to be identical, if a bit out of date. Incidentally, if I look at the code behind the website’s UI, I see a similar level of confusion as far as these and similar terms are concerned.

Perhaps @Tim_OVO could explain to us the precise meanings of these various terms (inasmuch as they have precise meanings, that is!).  

  

You mentioned quarterly updates, i assume you mean the EAC? My Future Annual Consumption figure is definitely updated much more often?

No, I was referring to the quarterly DD review. The FAC appears to be updated irregularly, but about weekly. I guess that this coincides with a new batch of data being transmitted to wherever ‘industry’ lives.   

 

@Jeffus The whole point of my suggestion was to work around the unacceptable 6-month DD adjustment period you referred to earlier. If a more realistic estimate of current usage were used in the first place, the DD could reach an appropriate level much more quickly without the need for CS intervention, possibly as soon as the first review (after two months for new customers). 

This would of course be a temporary arrangement until the energy market settles down. Sadly, no-one is predicting when that might happen.

 

Noel | I have no official status; I'm just a volunteer who comes here to help other customers. My gear: Aclara SGM 1416-B Electricity-only E7 meter; Chameleon IHD3-PPMID-AAA | It may look as if I know what I’m talking about, but don’t let that fool you. |
Jeffus
Rank 20
JeffusAuthor
Rank 20
February 22, 2023

  

1. I wonder sometimes if we get confused with the Future Annual Consumption figure that OVO say they calculate, with the EAC which OVO say they don't personally calculate, but is updated as meter readings are fed into it. 


I’m certain we do! I rather thought that Future Annual Consumption (FAC) was the mandatory one, to be used for tariff comparisons and thus stored centrally for other suppliers to access. I see it on my Plan page. The EAC, which I couldn’t find anywhere when I had a quick look just now, I rather thought was the one that OVO can manipulate and then use to calculate Direct Debit suggestions. Annoyingly, neither figure is now shown on monthly statements (although I’m fairly sure it ought to be), and, on the TIL on my Renewal page, I see yet another incarnation of this figure: the Estimated Yearly Use. I suppose, because I have a smart meter that’s been churning out figures regularly for years, they all appear to be identical, if a bit out of date. Incidentally, if I look at the code behind the website’s UI, I see a similar level of confusion as far as these and similar terms are concerned.

Perhaps @Tim_OVO could explain to us the precise meanings of these various terms (inasmuch as they have precise meanings, that is!).  

  

You mentioned quarterly updates, i assume you mean the EAC? My Future Annual Consumption figure is definitely updated much more often?

No, I was referring to the quarterly DD review. The FAC appears to be updated irregularly, but about weekly. I guess that this coincides with a new batch of data being transmitted to wherever ‘industry’ lives.   

 

@Jeffus The whole point of my suggestion was to work around the unacceptable 6-month DD adjustment period you referred to earlier. If a more realistic estimate of current usage were used in the first place, the DD could reach an appropriate level much more quickly without the need for CS intervention, possibly as soon as the first review (after two months for new customers). 

This would of course be a temporary arrangement until the energy market settles down. Sadly, no-one is predicting when that might happen.

 

https://forum.ovoenergy.com/my-account-140/estimated-annual-consumption-eac-what-this-means-and-how-it-affects-your-ovo-energy-account-8615#:~:text=The%20EAC%20is%20calculated%20using,accurate%20this%20figure%20will%20become.

Info on when they use EAC or not

Firedog
Super User
Super User
February 22, 2023

@Jeffus  Thanks. Your Q1 mentioned confusion - I think we’ve successfully demonstrated it. Doesn’t Tim’s article describe the FAC shown on plans and the EYU shown on TILs? If not, where would I expect to see the EAC?

A search revealed lots of pages, official and otherwise, mentioning EAC. In most cases, they were referring to the Ofgem-mandated quantity, Estimated Annual Cost - a different animal altogether. 

I think I’ll just crawl back under my rock. 

Noel | I have no official status; I'm just a volunteer who comes here to help other customers. My gear: Aclara SGM 1416-B Electricity-only E7 meter; Chameleon IHD3-PPMID-AAA | It may look as if I know what I’m talking about, but don’t let that fool you. |
Jeffus
Rank 20
JeffusAuthor
Rank 20
March 25, 2023

 

Newcomer
March 25, 2023

particularly for the attention of Tim_OVO

I have just been referred to this entry by Jeffus who picked up my frustration on a separate entry.

I was directed to your tutorial (extract below) but can categorically say that the calculation is not operating as you set out (which would be a sensible and acceptable approach to adopt).

I do have a Smart Meter and before that reliably provided monthly meter readings throughout the time I have been with OVO (over three years) - yet despite that the forecast for my property - and more significantly the basis for your direct debit charges to me are based upon estimates that appear significantly out of date.

If as you suggest the EAC is specific to my property and is computed in line with an industry standard then it clearly is not a suitable basis for establishing the direct debit charges. I would accept the use of previous years usage, or better still last 12 months rolling average.

In the current environment where customers have had an increased awareness of energy costs and taken action to reduce their usage - continuing to charge them in line with a long term historical trend is not only incorrect but could be argued as being immoral.

 

  Electricity Gas  
Projected (Kwh) 13925 31715 OVO projection
2022 Actual (Kwh) 13510 31418 OVO usage data

Last 12 months (Kwh)

March 2022-February 2023

13161 30131 OVO Usage Data

 

 

 

What is Usage projection?

 

Usage projection is a figure produced by our billing system, that uses smart meter readings (if available) to project the usage for you over the next year. If you don't have a smart meter, it uses any actual meter readings obtained over the past 12 months.

 

If we don't have any actual meter readings within the last 12 months, we'll use your EAC and AQ (the gas equivalent of EAC) to calculate your usage projection.

 

Usage projections will be displayed on monthly bills and will also be used for Direct Debit check in’s and renewal quotes.

 


How do we update an EAC?

 

Whenever a new reading is submitted to the energy industry, a new EAC is calculated for us to use.

 

If your EAC is incorrect, you should keep sending us regular readings. As the EAC is calculated based on the entire reading history of an electricity supply (MPAN), submitting regular readings over a period of time will gradually change the EAC until it matches the member's usage. The better alternative is to get a smart meter!

 

There are some exceptions where we may amend the EAC in other ways (e.g. when there has been a sudden and large increase/decrease in the EAC that doesn't match the most recent readings) but these wouldn't be applied without supporting readings.

 

We can't contact the industry to say we want the EAC amended, so all we can do is ensure the readings are correct on an account. If you’re not sure about how we’ve calculated your Direct Debit, the best thing to do is ensure we have accurate meter readings, and book a smart meter exchange

 

Jeffus
Rank 20
JeffusAuthor
Rank 20
April 6, 2023